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ANALYTICAL APPROACH range vision of customer and capital improvements in the LOSSAN Corridor
to increase speed and quality of service. Since its adoption in 2012, the Pacific
Surfliner has come under local control by the LOSSAN Agency and the LOSSAN
MODELING APPROACH AND RIDERSHIP JPA member agencies, and the LOSSAN Agency produces a business plan every
FORECASTING two years. The latest LOSSAN Rail Corridor Agency Business Plan FY 2018-19 to
2020 Connect SoCal forecasts commuter rail ridership in the region over FY 2019-20 highlights several significant strategies for improvement. They are:
time through the 2045 horizon with forecasted growth in population z Train Monitoring
and employment. In the horizon year, the full buildout of the Metrolink
SCORE project is assumed. z Train and Connecting Bus Schedule Adjustments
z Improved Connectivity with Local Transit Services
The Plan also forecasts ridership for the CA HSR project, which is scheduled to
begin revenue service in the SCAG region in 2033 consistent with the CHSRA z Equipment and Crew Utilization
2018 Business Plan, and includes CHSRA bookend capital investments to z Response to Service Disruptions
the LOSSAN and Metrolink corridors. The Phase 1 system will provide HSR
z Service Planning
service between downtown San Francisco and Anaheim via downtown Los
Angeles Union Station. The Business Plan also calls for capital improvements along the LOSSAN
Corridor to provide more service, including 13 daily round trips between Los
Angeles and San Diego, six round trips between Goleta and Los Angeles and
METROLINK SCORE three round trips between San Luis Obispo and Los Angeles.

The SCORE program expands capacity of the entire Metrolink system to
accommodate service that is more regular and frequent, throughout the entire CHSRA 2018 BUSINESS PLAN
service day (from morning to late evening). Capital investments for SCORE
include additional track (e.g., sidings, double track, triple track and quadruple The CHSRA 2018 Business Plan updated the progress of the CA HSR project
track segments), improved signaling, expanded and lower emissions fleet, from the prior 2016 plan. CHSRA is required to produce a business plan every
upgraded and enlarged maintenance facilities, grade crossing treatments and two years, and this plan recognized the current funding and construction
separations, fencing and safety features, features to support readiness for realities facing the project. In the 2018 plan, CHSRA redefined the “Central
quiet zones, and required asset rehabilitation to sustain capacity. With the Link Valley to Silicon Valley” initial operating segment (IOS) from Poplar Avenue
US project, SCORE will transform regional rail, by providing through service at north of Bakersfield to San Jose to downtown Bakersfield to San Francisco. This
Union Station. In addition to the benefits to regional rail, capital investments plan called for the IOS to cost $29.5 billion and begin operation in 2029. The full
will also benefit intercity rail and freight rail systems throughout the entire Phase 1 project would cost $77.3 billion and begin service in 2033.
Southern California region.
PRIVATE PROVIDERS OF TRANSPORTATION

LOSSAN STRATEGIC IMPLEMENTATION PLAN As noted above in the Regulatory Framework section, SCAG is required under
The LOSSAN Corridor-wide Strategic Implementation Plan lays out a long- new FAST Act regulations to include private providers of transportation in the
metropolitan planning process. SCAG has reached out to private providers,

Connect SoCal 5 Passenger Rail